The number of positive COVID-19 cases has risen exponentially in Oregon and have shown a significant increase over the past several week.
New modeling of the COVID-19 virus shows that COVID-19 is spreading more rapidly in Oregon, according to the latest model released on June 26 by the Oregon Health Authority and the Institute for Disease Modeling.
The model, which is based on data through June 18, offers three projections -- optimistic, moderate and pessimistic -- predicting that daily case levels could rise as much as 20 percentage points.
The modeling assumes that hospitalizations from COVID-19 remain stable and testing remains at its present level of approximately 4,000 a day:
The optimistic scenario with those assumptions suggests the previous modeling increase of June 11 was the result of higher testing and that case counts would remain stable at about 180 per day over the next month. This is the least likely scenario to occur because it assumes diagnosis of all new cases and presently about one-third of new infections cannot be traced to a known source.
The moderate scenario suggests the rise in cases in the last modeling report was due to increased transmission and expanded testing -- and that daily infections of COVID-19 could rise over the next month to more than 900 per day, with daily hospitalizations rising from 8 to 27.
The most pessimistic scenario suggests the rise in cases in the last modeling report was due entirely to increased transmission and not expanded testing -- and that infections could rise to more than 4,800, and hospitalizations could increase to 82 per day.
COVID-19 has claimed five more lives in Oregon, raising the state’s death toll to 202, the Oregon Health Authority reported at 12:01 a.m. today.
Oregon Health Authority reported 250 new confirmed and presumptive cases of COVID-19 as of 12:01 a.m. June 26, bringing the state total to 7,818.
The new cases reported today are in the following counties: Benton (4), Clackamas (17), Columbia (1), Deschutes (4), Douglas (4), Jackson (5), Jefferson (6), Josephine (2), Lake (3), Lane (10), Lincoln (4), Linn (4), Malheur (13), Marion (18), Morrow (12), Multnomah (61), Umatilla (22), Union (12), Wasco (3), Washington (39), and Yamhill (6).
COVID-19 cases hold a 5 on the Umatilla Indian Reservation. This represent 1% of the nearly 500 tested and less than .15% of all community members on the Umatilla Indian Reservation.
Out of an abundance of precaution, the Nixyaawii Governance Center was closed for Friday afternoon on June 26. Public Works staff were directed to conduct a thorough cleaning of the entire building. There had been reported one positive case of COVID-19 in a government staff member.
Previous safety and protocol directives were reinforced to all staff to include the following documents attached. The ICT will continue to enforce these protocols and monitor the situation in the event of a greater outbreak.